TS #3

This storm is currently in the Atlantic Ocean and is expected by most computer models to cut across the lower portion of Florida and eventually head into the Gulf Of Mexico. This is unfortunate considering the predicted location will take it directly over the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill location. The winds will probably be from the Southeast blowing toward the coastlines of Lo, Miss, Ala, and Florida.

Hurricane Bill is the next storm that probably will not have much of an effect on the Eastern Coast of Florida, but we should watch it anyway in case the situation over the Gulf Stream changes and the storm starts tracking more to the West. The NHC has already moved the TS Wind Probability zones to the West by 100 miles in the last 24 hours.

Here is the latest prediction from the NHC as of 11:00am Aug 19th, 2009.

Hello everyone.

I will be using some Doppler radar feeds on a regular basis at the bottom of the main site that will be for anyone living in the Volusia County area worried about hurricanes heading our way. If there are no immediate threats, this new section will be solid black (no data). As always I suggest viewing this site, and any for that matter with Mozilla Firefox. IE is great for some things, but it just can't keep up with Firefox's capabilities for displaying JAVA content. There is still some crazy error in Firefox when visiting my site about 2 missing plugins. Don't worry. You have everything you need for this site. Just close the warning box.

Stay tuned....
Brian.

There has been a lot of concern over the past 2 days about Hanna and Ike. I have been looking at the forecast models and it appears as if Hanna will stay off the coast of Florida by at least 100 miles (eye to land), eventually making landfall somewhere in South Carolina, * and Ike may graze the keys on its way into the gulf (*Edited 9/7/08).

For the Volusia County area, this means we will get some modest rain, medium winds (<50 MPH) and plenty of beach erosion for continued damage to our beaches. Low-lying areas should take flooding precautions. More updates will be posted if the path changes and either storm threatens the Daytona Beach area more than currently predicted.

All the news is a-buzz about Fay breaking apart. It almost looks like the eye has enlarged to neary 50 miles wide at this point. Big eyes are better than small ones (...as far as hurricanes go). So, this means the storm is moving at a slow pace and will be affecting our area for at least 2 more days. Winds at my house have never exceeded 20 MPH so far. Stay tuned.

I have been running the GFSX models again and they differ from what the mainstream media has been saying about the predicted course. Keep in mind, the DWG plot is just a guess based on variables present at the time. This is by no means inteded to alarm you, or to be used for emergency planning. Always consult the experts in this field.

Its still to early to say for sure, but if it becomes the next named storm, Fay, could potentially hit Florida. Some models have it skirting the Eastern coast of Florida and some newer models have it following a path much like Hurricane Charlie did in 2004. Stay tuned.